{"id":205222,"date":"2026-04-24T14:29:40","date_gmt":"2026-04-24T14:29:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.welovecycling.com\/wide\/?p=205222"},"modified":"2026-04-24T14:30:06","modified_gmt":"2026-04-24T14:30:06","slug":"pogacar-favored-to-win-liege-bastogne-liege-against-evenepoel-seixas","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.welovecycling.com\/wide\/2026\/04\/24\/pogacar-favored-to-win-liege-bastogne-liege-against-evenepoel-seixas\/","title":{"rendered":"Poga\u010dar Favored to Win Li\u00e8ge-Bastogne-Li\u00e8ge Against Evenepoel, Seixas"},"content":{"rendered":"<p data-start=\"0\" data-end=\"260\"><strong>Sunday\u2019s Li\u00e8ge-Bastogne-Li\u00e8ge is a unique one-day race and arguably the most difficult one-day race of the year. It\u2019s not only the distance covered, 259.5 km, or the nearly 4,400 meters (nearly 14,420 feet) in altitude gained that make it such a grueling race.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p data-start=\"0\" data-end=\"260\"><!--more--><\/p>\n<p data-start=\"262\" data-end=\"705\">It\u2019s also that most of that altitude gain comes in the last 100 km, which gives precious little time for the riders to rest, and it\u2019s the nature of some of the climbs, such as the C\u00f4te de Stockeu (1 km @ 12.5%, max. 21%), the C\u00f4te de la Redoute (1.6 km @ 9.4%, max. 20%) and the C\u00f4te de la Roche-aux-Faucons (1.3 km @ 11%, max. 16%), all three of which are at least as difficult as the Mur de Huy climbed in Wednesday\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.la-fleche-wallonne.be\/en\/\">La Fl\u00e8che Wallonne.<\/a><\/p>\n<p data-start=\"707\" data-end=\"1182\">The Redoute and Roche-aux-Faucons climbs come, respectively, 34 km and 13.3 km from the finish line and are very likely to again be decisive in the outcome, as they were in 2024 and last year. In those races, Tadej Poga\u010dar (UAE Team Emirates\u2013XRG) launched his winning moves on Redoute, shook off riders that were following and soloed to victory. As the race is comparable to a difficult mountain stage in the Tour de France, it suits Poga\u010dar down to his toenails.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1184\" data-end=\"1527\">The Slovenian has won the race three times, also winning in 2021. If he wins on Sunday, as I believe he will, he will be one victory behind <a href=\"https:\/\/www.welovecycling.com\/wide\/2020\/09\/21\/eddy-merckx-versus-the-world-at-the-1971-tour-de-france\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Eddy Merckx,<\/a> who has won Li\u00e8ge five times. It will also make it 13 Monuments won, solidifying his second place behind Merckx\u2019s 19. It seems that every time Poga\u010dar rides in a race, it becomes historical.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1529\" data-end=\"2078\">This is also true of his teenage rival, Paul Seixas, who on Wednesday became the youngest rider in history to win La Fl\u00e8che Wallonne. Seixas has raced against Poga\u010dar in two Classics so far, finishing seventh in last year\u2019s Il Lombardia and an impressive and courageous second in this year\u2019s Strade Bianche. And he won the junior version of Li\u00e8ge-Bastogne-Li\u00e8ge two years ago, at the age of 17(!). The 19-year-old is definitely special, but he won\u2019t beat Poga\u010dar on Sunday. Tadej is still more special. When he is at his best, no one can follow him.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"instagram-media\" style=\"background: #FFF; border: 0; border-radius: 3px; box-shadow: 0 0 1px 0 rgba(0,0,0,0.5),0 1px 10px 0 rgba(0,0,0,0.15); margin: 1px; max-width: 540px; min-width: 326px; padding: 0; width: calc(100% - 2px);\" data-instgrm-captioned=\"\" data-instgrm-permalink=\"https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/p\/DXgvOAzk44h\/?utm_source=ig_embed&amp;utm_campaign=loading\" data-instgrm-version=\"14\">\n<div style=\"padding: 16px;\">\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<div style=\"display: flex; flex-direction: row; align-items: center;\">\n<div style=\"background-color: #f4f4f4; border-radius: 50%; flex-grow: 0; height: 40px; margin-right: 14px; width: 40px;\"><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: flex; flex-direction: column; flex-grow: 1; justify-content: center;\">\n<div style=\"background-color: #f4f4f4; border-radius: 4px; flex-grow: 0; height: 14px; margin-bottom: 6px; width: 100px;\"><\/div>\n<div style=\"background-color: #f4f4f4; border-radius: 4px; flex-grow: 0; height: 14px; width: 60px;\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div style=\"padding: 19% 0;\"><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; height: 50px; margin: 0 auto 12px; width: 50px;\"><\/div>\n<div style=\"padding-top: 8px;\">\n<div style=\"color: #3897f0; font-family: Arial,sans-serif; font-size: 14px; font-style: normal; font-weight: 550; line-height: 18px;\">Zobrazit p\u0159\u00edsp\u011bvek na Instagramu<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div style=\"padding: 12.5% 0;\"><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: flex; flex-direction: row; margin-bottom: 14px; align-items: center;\">\n<div>\n<div style=\"background-color: #f4f4f4; border-radius: 50%; height: 12.5px; width: 12.5px; transform: translateX(0px) translateY(7px);\"><\/div>\n<div style=\"background-color: #f4f4f4; height: 12.5px; transform: rotate(-45deg) translateX(3px) translateY(1px); width: 12.5px; flex-grow: 0; margin-right: 14px; margin-left: 2px;\"><\/div>\n<div style=\"background-color: #f4f4f4; border-radius: 50%; height: 12.5px; width: 12.5px; transform: translateX(9px) translateY(-18px);\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div style=\"margin-left: 8px;\">\n<div style=\"background-color: #f4f4f4; border-radius: 50%; flex-grow: 0; height: 20px; width: 20px;\"><\/div>\n<div style=\"width: 0; height: 0; border-top: 2px solid transparent; border-left: 6px solid #f4f4f4; border-bottom: 2px solid transparent; transform: translateX(16px) translateY(-4px) rotate(30deg);\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div style=\"margin-left: auto;\">\n<div style=\"width: 0px; border-top: 8px solid #F4F4F4; border-right: 8px solid transparent; transform: translateY(16px);\"><\/div>\n<div style=\"background-color: #f4f4f4; flex-grow: 0; height: 12px; width: 16px; transform: translateY(-4px);\"><\/div>\n<div style=\"width: 0; height: 0; border-top: 8px solid #F4F4F4; border-left: 8px solid transparent; transform: translateY(-4px) translateX(8px);\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: flex; flex-direction: column; flex-grow: 1; justify-content: center; margin-bottom: 24px;\">\n<div style=\"background-color: #f4f4f4; border-radius: 4px; flex-grow: 0; height: 14px; margin-bottom: 6px; width: 224px;\"><\/div>\n<div style=\"background-color: #f4f4f4; border-radius: 4px; flex-grow: 0; height: 14px; width: 144px;\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"color: #c9c8cd; font-family: Arial,sans-serif; font-size: 14px; line-height: 17px; margin-bottom: 0; margin-top: 8px; overflow: hidden; padding: 8px 0 7px; text-align: center; text-overflow: ellipsis; white-space: nowrap;\"><a style=\"color: #c9c8cd; font-family: Arial,sans-serif; font-size: 14px; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; line-height: 17px; text-decoration: none;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/p\/DXgvOAzk44h\/?utm_source=ig_embed&amp;utm_campaign=loading\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">P\u0159\u00edsp\u011bvek sd\u00edlen\u00fd Li\u00e8ge-Bastogne-Li\u00e8ge Challenge (@lblchallenge)<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"\/\/www.instagram.com\/embed.js\"><\/script>It\u2019s true that Wout van Aert (Visma\u2013Lease Bike) <a href=\"https:\/\/www.welovecycling.com\/wide\/2026\/04\/13\/van-aert-outsprints-pogacar-to-win-the-2026-paris-roubaix\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">beat him in Paris-Roubaix two weeks ago,<\/a> but that was a special race in which Poga\u010dar had three punctures and rode for far too long on a bike supplied by the race service car. And, of course, van Aert is also a special rider and rode a brilliant race.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"2381\" data-end=\"3120\">Seixas would have to show that he has greatly improved over his Strade Bianche performance, six weeks ago, when Poga\u010dar beat him by a minute. But Poga\u010dar has also gotten stronger and Li\u00e8ge-Bastogne-Li\u00e8ge is a far more demanding race. In Seixas\u2019 favor is that his impressive win in Wednesday\u2019s La Fl\u00e8che Wallonne didn\u2019t require an enormous effort as the race was largely uneventful until the final climb and he was well protected by his team. But he wasn\u2019t really tested in that race, and he will have to contend on Sunday not only with Poga\u010dar, but also with Remco Evenepoel (Red Bull\u2013BORA\u2013hansgrohe). The key will be if, after more than 220 km of hard racing and climbing, he has the legs to follow Poga\u010dar when he makes his move.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"3122\" data-end=\"3424\">That also goes for Evenepoel, who has won the race twice, in 2022, when Poga\u010dar did not race in it, and in 2023, when the Slovenian crashed out. He did not ride in the 2024 edition, but in 2025 he tried to follow Poga\u010dar on the Redoute, was dropped and then faded badly, finishing 3:11 behind, in 59th.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"3426\" data-end=\"3860\">He looked very strong in winning the Amstel Gold Race, when he outsprinted Mattias Skjelmose (Lidl-Trek). Skjelmose is a terrific rider, but Poga\u010dar lives on a different planet and Li\u00e8ge is a different animal from the Amstel. Add to all that the fact that Poga\u010dar seems to be in the form of his life, any other winner but the world champion on Sunday would be considered an upset \u2013 though if Evenepoel won it wouldn\u2019t be a huge upset.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"3862\" data-end=\"4299\">Other potential but highly unlikely winners include Skjelmose, Lenny Martinez (Bahrain-Victorious), Romain Gr\u00e9goire (Groupama\u2013FDJ United), K\u00e9vin Vauquelin (INEOS Grenadiers) and Ion Izagirre (Cofidis). If not for his horrific crash in the Volta a Catalunya, I would have included Tom Pidcock (Pinarello Q36.5). But though he is riding remarkably well in the Tour of the Alps, which ends on Friday, he is probably not yet at full fitness.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"4301\" data-end=\"4685\" data-is-last-node=\"\" data-is-only-node=\"\">Whoever wants to beat Poga\u010dar has to stay on his wheel on the Redoute climb, stay with him on the C\u00f4te de la Roche-aux-Faucons and then, after a short descent from its summit, continue to ride with him on the difficult uncategorized 2.3 km (@ 4\u20136%) drag to the suburb of Boncelles before the final descent toward the finish. I don\u2019t think anyone can do it, but I\u2019d love to see it.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Sunday\u2019s Li\u00e8ge-Bastogne-Li\u00e8ge is a unique one-day race and arguably the most difficult one-day race of the year. It\u2019s not only [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":99,"featured_media":205223,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[329],"tags":[9012,1298,8752,3415,831],"global-categories":[3366],"class_list":["post-205222","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-road-cycling","tag-2026-liege-bastogne-liege-femmes","tag-liege-bastogne-liege","tag-paul-seixas","tag-tadej-pogacar","tag-wout-van-aert","global-categories-cycling"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v25.3 (Yoast SEO v25.9) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Poga\u010dar Favored to Win the 2026 Li\u00e8ge-Bastogne-Li\u00e8ge<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Sunday\u2019s Li\u00e8ge-Bastogne-Li\u00e8ge is a unique one-day race and arguably the most difficult one-day race of the year. 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