{"id":204929,"date":"2026-03-20T16:01:33","date_gmt":"2026-03-20T16:01:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.welovecycling.com\/wide\/?p=204929"},"modified":"2026-03-20T16:01:33","modified_gmt":"2026-03-20T16:01:33","slug":"van-der-poel-versus-pogacar-a-battle-of-the-titans-in-the-milano-san-remo","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.welovecycling.com\/wide\/2026\/03\/20\/van-der-poel-versus-pogacar-a-battle-of-the-titans-in-the-milano-san-remo\/","title":{"rendered":"Van der Poel Versus Poga\u010dar: A Battle of the Titans in the Milano\u2013San Remo"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><strong>It would be easy to say that, since Alpecin\u2013Premier Tech riders have won the last three editions of Milano\u2013San Remo, that one of them \u2013 Mathieu van der Poel or Jasper Philipsen \u2013 is going to win again this year. But why not take the easy option? Life is too hard as it is; why make it harder. So, yes, either van der Poel or Philipsen will win the race again this year, with my money on Mathieu.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><!--more--><\/p>\n<h2 style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><strong>Van der Poel is strong and driven\u00a0<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In addition to it being the easiest option, I also base my decision on the way he has been riding since winter. He won every cyclocross race he entered, including his record eighth world championship, and on the road, he has won every race he has tried to win: the Omloop Nieuwsblad, with a 16 km solo, and two stages of last week\u2019s Tirreno-Adriatico, with grit, power, and perseverance.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">And he powered up most of the only climb (8.4 km @ 4.6%) of Sunday\u2019s final stage and continued leading the peloton for dozens of kilometres, despite pleas from his team to slow down because he had dropped Philipsen. That was as impressive a ride as any of the others, and it was clearly a prep for this Saturday\u2019s Milano\u2013San Remo, which he obviously wants to win for a third time.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">I can\u2019t see anyone beating him, because not only is he in great form, but he is more win-driven, more willing to suffer for the victory, than I\u2019ve ever seen him. And he seems very confident. \u201cI feel good and have had good preparation,\u201d <a href=\"https:\/\/www.msn.com\/en-us\/sports\/other\/mathieu-van-der-poel-says-it-s-only-a-matter-of-time-before-tadej-poga%C4%8Dar-wins-milan-san-remo\/ar-AA1YFn5T?ocid=msedgdhp&amp;pc=U531&amp;cvid=69ba64c4261b42679e77d5d7f4fd37cc&amp;cvpid=80741a0ce7b34b90d14d2f12bd87ebd3&amp;ei=43\">he said<\/a> before stage 6 of the Tirreno-Adriatico. \u201cI am satisfied with my legs and the feeling this week; that is all I needed. But whether the [Milano\u2013San Remo] winner was riding here is still a question mark. It is often the same names that come to the fore: myself, Wout, and Ganna.\u201c But not, you will have noticed, Tadej Poga\u010dar \u2013 although he did mention the rider many consider his strongest rival. \u201cIt&#8217;s only a matter of time before he wins that race,\u201d\u00a0he said. But not yet, he implied.<\/p>\n<h2 style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><strong>Poga\u010dar comes with strong support<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Tadej Poga\u010dar (UAE Team Emirates\u2013XRG) has competed in\u00a0five\u00a0editions\u00a0of the race and has finished 12th (2020), fifth (2022), fourth (2023), and third (2024 and 2025). He desperately wants to win it. He has won three of the five Monuments, with this race and Paris-Roubaix still missing from his Palmares. Only three riders have won all five, and they are all Belgian: Rik Van Looy, Roger De Vlaeminck, and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.welovecycling.com\/wide\/2021\/06\/30\/the-fall-of-eddy-merckx-the-greatest-tour-de-france-champion\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Eddy Merckx.<\/a> Boy, would Pogi love to belong to that exclusive club.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_195232\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-195232\" style=\"width: 990px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><a href=\"https:\/\/d2p6e6u75xmxt8.cloudfront.net\/2\/2024\/03\/Philipsen-Pogacar-Matthews-Milan-San-Remo-profimedia-0857372147-CVR.webp\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-195232 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/d2p6e6u75xmxt8.cloudfront.net\/2\/2024\/03\/Philipsen-Pogacar-Matthews-Milan-San-Remo-profimedia-0857372147-CVR.webp\" alt=\"Milan San-Remo\" width=\"990\" height=\"660\" srcset=\"https:\/\/d2p6e6u75xmxt8.cloudfront.net\/2\/2024\/03\/Philipsen-Pogacar-Matthews-Milan-San-Remo-profimedia-0857372147-CVR.webp 990w, https:\/\/d2p6e6u75xmxt8.cloudfront.net\/2\/2024\/03\/Philipsen-Pogacar-Matthews-Milan-San-Remo-profimedia-0857372147-CVR-300x200.webp 300w, https:\/\/d2p6e6u75xmxt8.cloudfront.net\/2\/2024\/03\/Philipsen-Pogacar-Matthews-Milan-San-Remo-profimedia-0857372147-CVR-768x512.webp 768w, https:\/\/d2p6e6u75xmxt8.cloudfront.net\/2\/2024\/03\/Philipsen-Pogacar-Matthews-Milan-San-Remo-profimedia-0857372147-CVR-400x267.webp 400w, https:\/\/d2p6e6u75xmxt8.cloudfront.net\/2\/2024\/03\/Philipsen-Pogacar-Matthews-Milan-San-Remo-profimedia-0857372147-CVR-272x182.webp 272w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 990px) 100vw, 990px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-195232\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Poga\u010dar (R) at the 2025 Milano-Sanremo. \u00a9 Profimedia<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">And he surely will one day, but not this year, and probably not while van der Poel is still riding. Why? Because the short, relatively gentle climbs on the course don\u2019t favour the Slovenian\u2019s explosivity. They are simply not steep enough for him to open gaps over the better riders. And van der Poel is climbing better than he ever has and still has a great finishing kick. In the last three editions, Poga\u010dar has been outsprinted by van der Poel, Filippo Ganna, and Wout van Aert (2023); Philipsen and Michael Mathews (2024); and van der Poel and Ganna (2025). So, if he can\u2019t ride away from his rivals, the key to his winning the race at last is to improve his sprinting \u2013 and he probably has. But so has van der Poel. No one could get past him in the Tirreno-Adriatica once he put the hammer down.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Still, this is Tadej Poga\u010dar, the rider who, after losing the <a href=\"http:\/\/letour.fr\">Tour de France<\/a> two years in a row to Jonas Vingegaard, found another level and hasn\u2019t lost it since. There\u2019s no doubt that he and his team have analysed to death the past few editions of the race and made the appropriate adjustments. One of them is giving him the strongest possible support team: Isaac del Toro, Domen Novak, Jan Christen, Brandon McNulty, Florian Vermeersch, Felix Gro\u00dfschartner. That is the cream of the crop.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Presumably, they will ride full gas for much of the 298 km course in an attempt to weaken the legs of Pogi\u2019s rivals, and then lead him up the Cipressa (5.7 km @ 4.1%) or the Poggio di San Remo \u00a0(3.7 km@ 3.8%), from where he will attack and hope that whoever is able to stay on his wheel won\u2019t have the legs for a full-out sprint. Maybe it will work.<\/p>\n<h2 style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><strong>The others<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Or maybe there will be more than one rider on his wheel when he jumps, because the race isn\u2019t about only Poga\u010dar or van der Poel (though I think it will be). Take Ganna, for example, who twice finished second in the race (\u201923 and \u201925). The race suits him, and he was strong in the Tirreno, where he won the stage 1 ITT and then stayed with the climbers on stage 4, only to totally misjudge the final sprint, finishing ninth. He\u2019s coming into the race with his form on an upward trajectory. He recently<a href=\"https:\/\/cyclinguptodate.com\/cycling\/filippo-ganna-doesnt-want-to-wait-until-poggio-maybe-its-better-to-find-something-earlier\"> said<\/a> that he might not wait until the Poggio to play his card, hinting that he might attack on the Cipressa. But it will be tough to attack on any climb if the UAE train is going at full speed.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Another rider who might be with the favourites at the end is Tom Pidcock (Pinarello\u2013Q36.5 Pro Cycling), who won Wednesday\u2019s Milano-Torino in impressive fashion, beating Tobias Halland Johannessen (Uno-X Mobility), <\/span><b>\u00a0<\/b>Primo\u017e Rogli\u010d and Giulio Pellizzari (both Red Bull\u2013BORA\u2013hansgrohe). He is ready. But is he good enough? That question should also be posed regarding the chances of Wout van Aert (Visma\u2013Lease a Bike). Because, all other things being equal, that\u2019s the big question: Who is the best rider in the race? I think it\u2019s too early for van Aert to challenge for the win, and I think van der Poel is the best rider in the race.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The good news for racing fans is that Mads Pedersen (Lidl-Trek) has recovered from the broken wrist he sustained on stage 1 of his first race of the year, the Volta a Valenciana, and will be riding on Saturday. If he were in form, I\u2019d say he had a chance. But this is now his first real race of the season, and the competition is too strong.<\/p>\n<h2 style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><strong>Kopecky or Wiebes in the women\u2019s race<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The first iteration of the Milano\u2013San Remo \u00a0Donne was called the Primavera Rosa and was held seven times, from 1999 to 2005<strong>.<\/strong>\u00a0The race returned in 2025 after a 20-year break and was won by Lorena Wiebes. She and her SD Worx\u2013Protime teammate Lotte Kopecky are, in my eyes, favourites for Saturday\u2019s edition. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.welovecycling.com\/wide\/2025\/04\/07\/kopecky-powers-to-record-third-tour-of-flanders-victory\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Kopecky<\/a> just won Wednesday\u2019s Nokere Koerse in a bunch sprint, which is astonishing since she\u2019s not really supposed to be a sprinter. But she beat sprinters Charlotte Kool (Fenix\u2013Premier Tech) and Lara Gillespie (UAE Team ADQ), so she is coming into the race in fine form. And Wiebes \u2013 who has already won five times this year \u2013 always seems to be in fine form.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Last year\u2019s race ended with a bunch sprint, and this year\u2019s course is the same, so it is fair to assume that it could have the same mass-sprint ending. But Elisa Longo Borghini (UAE Team ADQ) and Puck Pieterse (Fenix\u2013Premier Tech) don\u2019t want to wait for the sprint and will probably attack on the Cipressa or Poggio. But it could still come down to a sprint because both Wiebes and Kopecky can climb these modest peaks and will have the advantage in the final 200 metres. The ageless Marianne Vos could also be involved in the finale, as she is still very quick.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>It would be easy to say that, since Alpecin\u2013Premier Tech riders have won the last three editions of Milano\u2013San Remo, [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":99,"featured_media":204930,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[329],"tags":[8965,2711,5436,3773,5724,8959,3415],"global-categories":[3366],"class_list":["post-204929","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-road-cycling","tag-2026-milano-sanremo","tag-elisa-longo-borghini","tag-jasper-philipsen","tag-lorena-wiebes","tag-lotte-kopecky","tag-milano-sanremo","tag-tadej-pogacar","global-categories-cycling"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v25.3 (Yoast SEO v25.9) - 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