{"id":189986,"date":"2022-07-01T07:06:06","date_gmt":"2022-07-01T07:06:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.welovecycling.com\/wide\/?p=189986"},"modified":"2022-07-01T11:08:20","modified_gmt":"2022-07-01T11:08:20","slug":"who-will-win-the-yellow-jersey-at-this-years-tour","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.welovecycling.com\/wide\/2022\/07\/01\/who-will-win-the-yellow-jersey-at-this-years-tour\/","title":{"rendered":"Who Will Win the Yellow Jersey at This Year&#8217;s Tour?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>Picking the winner of this year\u2019s Tour de France yellow jersey is easy. The reason it\u2019s so easy is that Tadej Poga\u010dar, who has won the Tour GC competition the last two years, is head and shoulders the best rider in the race and, all other things being equal, the best road racer in the world.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><!--more--><\/p>\n<p>If Poga\u010dar stays healthy in the next five to ten years, he will break many of the records set by the (so far) greatest of them all, Eddy Merckx. That\u2019s not only my opinion. The Cannibal himself has said so. \u201cI see him as the new Cannibal,\u201d five-time Tour champion <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/article\/uk-cycling-france-idCAKBN2EO0IN\">Merckx said after last year\u2019s race<\/a>. \u201cHe is extremely strong. I see him winning several editions of the Tour in the years to come. If nothing happens to him, he can certainly win the Tour de France more than five times.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>That\u2019s good enough for me. Merckx was 23 years old when he won his first Tour de France in 1969. Poga\u010dar is 23 now. That is truly mind-boggling. I usually like an underdog to win a sporting event because it is more interesting than having the favourite win. But I have to root for the freakishly talented Slovenian UAE Team Emirates rider because watching him race in the Tour is like watching a ballet dancer on a high wire: breathtaking and beautiful.<\/p>\n<div class=\"embed-controller-wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Back when I was a small kid with big dreams \ud83d\ude01<\/p>\n<p>Tomorrow begins another dream <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/LeTour?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">@LeTour<\/a> \ud83c\uddeb\ud83c\uddf7<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/ThrowbackThursday?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#ThrowbackThursday<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/lPo3BV01Qm\">pic.twitter.com\/lPo3BV01Qm<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Tadej Poga\u010dar (@TamauPogi) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/TamauPogi\/status\/1542408766272020481?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">June 30, 2022<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async data-src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/div>\n<p>By now, every cycling fan knows that he is a marvellous climber, a nonpareil time-trial rider and very, very smart. Though he won the 2020 Tour on his own, with little support from his team, last year Team Emirates came of age and provided excellent support. There\u2019s no reason to believe that the team hasn\u2019t made even more progress. Which is good because Poga\u010dar\u2019s primary rivals are no longer individual riders but teams. Both Jumbo-Visma and Ineos Grenadiers have nominated teams with multiple GC contenders, hoping that way to defeat him and, at the same time, acknowledging his superiority.<\/p>\n<p>Jumbo-Visma is led by two yellow jersey contenders, three-time Vuelta winner and Poga\u010dar\u2019s compatriot <a href=\"https:\/\/www.welovecycling.com\/wide\/2021\/06\/29\/ride2unite-podcast-with-primoz-roglic-i-had-to-learn-how-to-suffer\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Primo\u017e Rogli\u010d<\/a>\u00a0and 25-year-old Dane Jonas Vingegaard. Rogli\u010d was neck and neck with Poga\u010dar in the 2020 Tour but was destroyed by his countryman in the time trial in the penultimate stage. Watching him struggle up the time trial\u2019s final ascent, desperate and well beaten, was one of the saddest sports images of the year. Rogli\u010d is a terrific rider but he is no Poga\u010dar.<\/p>\n<p>Last year\u2019s Tour was supposed to start in Denmark but Covid put an end to that. Still, Vingegaard had trained to impress with the race starting in his home country, and he rode impressively to finish second after Rogli\u010d abandoned the race following a series of crashes. But Poga\u010dar finished the Tour 5 min 20 sec ahead of Vingegaard. The Dane will certainly be stronger this year but so is Poga\u010dar.<\/p>\n<p>Finally, Ineos Grenadiers will have no fewer than three GC contenders in this year\u2019s Tour: Geraint Thomas, Dani Martinez and Adam Yates. Thomas won the Tour in 2018 and has had an excellent spring, winning the prestigious Tour de Suisse. The 26-year-old Colombian, Martinez, won this year\u2019s Tour of the Basque Country and finished fifth in last year\u2019s Giro. Yates finished fourth in the 2016 Tour and last year\u2019s Vuelta. And Ineos has a strong team this year, which includes Tom Pidcock and this year\u2019s Paris-Roubaix winner, Dylan van Baarle. But I don\u2019t think they have a chance.<\/p>\n<p>Still, the competition for the yellow jersey will be fierce and exciting, especially in the mountains. If the situation isn\u2019t clear after the last mountain stage, the stage 20 time trial, over 40 km, should decide. In either case, there can only be one winner, and, barring accident, his name is almost certainly Tadej Poga\u010dar.<\/p>\n<p>However, this year there is a joker in the pack: Covid. In the Tour de Suisse, more than 40 riders caught the illness and had to abandon. It\u2019s a little like playing the Russian roulette: impossible to predict. But let\u2019s hope that the virus has run out of bullets.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Picking the winner of this year\u2019s Tour de France yellow jersey is easy. The reason it\u2019s so easy is that [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":99,"featured_media":189988,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[329],"tags":[5778,5875,4352,3140,954,1080,4367,2718,1221,3415,433],"global-categories":[3366],"class_list":["post-189986","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-road-cycling","tag-2022-tour","tag-2022-tour-de-france","tag-dani-martinez","tag-dylan-van-baarle","tag-eddy-merckx","tag-geraint-thomas","tag-ineos-grenadiers","tag-jumbo-visma","tag-primoz-roglic","tag-tadej-pogacar","tag-tour-de-france","global-categories-cycling"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v25.3 (Yoast SEO v25.9) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Who Will Win the Yellow Jersey at This Year&#039;s Tour? - We Love Cycling<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Picking the winner of this year\u2019s Tour de France yellow jersey is easy. 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