{"id":174779,"date":"2019-07-25T10:11:07","date_gmt":"2019-07-25T10:11:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.welovecycling.com\/wide\/?p=174779"},"modified":"2019-07-25T10:11:07","modified_gmt":"2019-07-25T10:11:07","slug":"on-la-grande-boucle-alaphilippe-tried-to-sound-confident-but-his-eyes-said-im-done","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.welovecycling.com\/wide\/2019\/07\/25\/on-la-grande-boucle-alaphilippe-tried-to-sound-confident-but-his-eyes-said-im-done\/","title":{"rendered":"On La Grande Boucle: Alaphilippe Tried to Sound Confident, But His Eyes Said &#8220;I\u2019m Done&#8221;"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>\u201cEveryone is tired,\u201d the defending Tour de France champion Geraint Thomas said after the 15th stage of this year\u2019s race. He may just as well have been talking about those of us who have been following the Tour from our living room sofas. What a race! Almost every stage has been as dramatic as the Djokovic-Federer Wimbledon final, with surprises being the norm rather than the exception. Almost every stage has been a spectacle. And with only three competitive stages to go, any of the six most promising riders can still win it.<\/strong><!--more--><\/p>\n<p>The swashbuckling Frenchman Julian Alaphilippe is still wearing the yellow jersey, leading Thomas by 1 min 35 secs. The next four riders in the standings trail last year\u2019s winner by less than a minute, so it couldn\u2019t be closer with three gruelling Alpine mountain stages to go. Based on what we\u2019ve seen so far, this is how we see the race end \u2013 with the caveat that only a fool pretends to know the future and only a bigger fool believes him.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>Julian Alaphilippe<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>The 29-year-old Quick-Step rider has been the revelation of this year\u2019s Tour. Dynamic, courageous, and with a spectacular turn of the pedal, he has made French hearts flutter. The French love spectacle and courage and he has provided buckets of both. But he committed an enormous error at the end of stage 15, when he first tried to follow Thibaut Pinot\u2019s explosive ascend on the final climb and then, realizing he didn\u2019t have any gas in his tank, dropped back and tried to lead a small group of riders, including Thomas and Steven Kruisjwijk, up the last two kilometres, rather than dropping behind the group and letting himself be pulled up. It was no surprise when Thomas et al. left him behind in the final kilometre.<\/p>\n<div class=\"embed-controller-wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Loulou &#8211; always busy \ud83d\ude1b<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/TDF2019?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#TDF2019<\/a><br \/>Photo: <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/GettySport?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">@GettySport<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/Clr8LOZ4j1\">pic.twitter.com\/Clr8LOZ4j1<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Soudal Quick-Step Pro Cycling Team (@soudalquickstep) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/soudalquickstep\/status\/1153996267363688449?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">July 24, 2019<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async data-src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/div>\n<p>The qualities that have put him in the yellow jersey for 12 days \u2013 courage, aggressiveness, panache \u2013 short-circuited his brain on that day. The stage also demonstrated that, though he has energy and strength, he probably does not have the stamina for the Alps. I would love to see him win the race, but he hasn\u2019t got the engine and, more importantly, he hasn\u2019t got the team. Which means that Alaphilippe will likely be on his own on those long, arduous Alpine ascents, and no one wins the Tour on his own. In a TV interview following stage 15, the exhausted Alaphilippe tried to sound confident, but his eyes said: \u201cI\u2019m done.\u201d<\/p>\n<h2><strong>Thibaut Pinot<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>The 29-year-old French Groupama-FDJ rider has been nothing short of brilliant, and appears to be the best pure climber in the race. His victory on the legendary Tourmalet was breathtaking, as was his second-place finish on the following stage. An error in placement cost him 1 min 40 secs in an earlier stage but he has recovered much of that time. But at what cost? Though his team has been helpful, he did much of the decisive climbing alone. And the Alps are different from the Pyrenees, less steep but longer and more demanding of stamina. How much gas does he have left?<\/p>\n<div class=\"embed-controller-wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"fr\" dir=\"ltr\">\ud83c\udfa5 Revivez les derniers m\u00e8tres de la magnifique victoire de <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/ThibautPinot?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">@ThibautPinot<\/a> \ud83d\udc49 <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/DT0jTUzTNp\">pic.twitter.com\/DT0jTUzTNp<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; \u00c9quipe Cycliste Groupama-FDJ (@GroupamaFDJ) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/GroupamaFDJ\/status\/1152607317063589889?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">July 20, 2019<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async data-src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/div>\n<p>And how good is his team? Team sports director Marc Madiot has so far designed a brilliant battle plan but the Groupama support riders appear to be a little short on stamina. Grand tour cycling is a team sport and I don\u2019t think the team has the chops for the Alps. On his form, Pinot represents the best chance for the first French Tour victory in 34 years but I think he\u2019ll fall short.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>Geraint Thomas<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>He didn\u2019t look good during the first week and he was dropped on the Tourmalet but if you exclude Alaphilippe in your calculations, he is still leading this race. And I don\u2019t believe his Team Ineos colleagues are as weak as they appear to be and everyone \u2013 including former Team Sky Tour de France winner Bradley Wiggins \u2013 thinks they are. I think the Team Ineos strategists looked at the race and understood that the first two weeks would be very demanding, and they took the long view in their analysis and planning. So they put all their money on the Alps, letting the support riders drop off on the Pyrenean climbs to save them for the last week of the race, where the championship will be decided. I think that on the final two stages \u2013 and especially on the final, 33.4-km ascent \u2013 Thomas will have four or five teammates leading him up, which will make all the difference.<\/p>\n<div class=\"embed-controller-wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">There&#39;s no change on GC after stage 17 as <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/GeraintThomas86?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">@GeraintThomas86<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Eganbernal?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">@Eganbernal<\/a> come in with the other GC favourites. All \ud83d\udc40 now turn to the Alps \ud83d\uddfb <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/0OQuC54duY\">pic.twitter.com\/0OQuC54duY<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; INEOS Grenadiers (@INEOSGrenadiers) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/INEOSGrenadiers\/status\/1154051740519424002?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">July 24, 2019<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async data-src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/div>\n<p>And Thomas himself looks to be getting stronger with every stage. I think he is exactly where he wants to be, ahead of his serious competitors and getting his legs under him by the day. Among all the potential winners, he has expended the least energy, falling back when he was alone but without giving away much time. In the TV interview when he said how tired he was, his eyes said, \u201cI\u2019ve got this.\u201d I believe his eyes.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>Egan Bernal<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>The 22-year-old Colombian from Team Ineos is the best young rider in the Tour by far, a marvellous climber and a future champion. If Thomas falters, the team will ride for him. If he doesn\u2019t, Bernal will ride for Thomas. It\u2019s literally a win-win.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>Steven Kruisjwijk<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>The dark horse. The Dutchman\u2019s Jumbo-Visma team has had a great Tour, winning four stages including the team time trial. More important, Kruisjwijk was never alone in the Pyrenees, with two or three teammates supporting him on the climbs. Besides, he has looked very strong and has always been riding on Thomas\u2019s shoulder, without appearing to put the pedal to the metal.<\/p>\n<div class=\"embed-controller-wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">\ud83c\uddeb\ud83c\uddf7 <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/TDF2019?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#TDF2019<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/s_kruijswijk?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">@s_kruijswijk<\/a> has started stage 18 <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/LeTour?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">@LeTour<\/a> on place 3 in the GC. He&#39;s 1&#39;47&quot; behind the yellow jersey Alaphilippe. <\/p>\n<p>The riders have to face several climbs, including the Col d&#39;Izoard and the Col du Galibier. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/56shq2CwnJ\">pic.twitter.com\/56shq2CwnJ<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Team Visma | Lease a Bike (@vismaleaseabike) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/vismaleaseabike\/status\/1154329427066675201?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">July 25, 2019<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async data-src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/div>\n<p>In 2018, Kruisjwijk led the Giro d\u2019Italia until he crashed during the 19th stage and this year he dropped out of the Giro before the 20th stage because of stomach problems. He was tenth in the overall standings at the time, suggesting that he used the race as preparation for the Tour de France. He currently trails Thomas by 12 seconds, no more than a flea\u2019s sneeze. In a race full of surprises, his victory would be the perfect ending.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u201cEveryone is tired,\u201d the defending Tour de France champion Geraint Thomas said after the 15th stage of this year\u2019s race. [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":12,"featured_media":174783,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[329],"tags":[3226,2396,2621,1080,1887,3292,1098],"global-categories":[],"class_list":["post-174779","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-road-cycling","tag-2019-tour","tag-2019-tour-de-france","tag-egan-bernal","tag-geraint-thomas","tag-julian-alaphilippe","tag-steven-kruisjwijk","tag-thibaut-pinot"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v25.3 (Yoast SEO v25.9) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>On La Grande Boucle: Alaphilippe Tried to Sound Confident, But His Eyes Said &quot;I\u2019m Done&quot; - \u0160koda We Love Cycling<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"\u201cEveryone is tired,\u201d the defending Tour de France champion Geraint Thomas said after the 15th stage of this year\u2019s race. 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